2017 Oscars: My Predictions.


This Sunday marks the 2017 Oscar ceremony, arguably the pinnacle of the cinematic award season. As with the BAFTA’s, I have made a number of predictions for select categories in which I have seen the most performances and observed the craft going into said films. Out of the 10 categories I predicted for the BAFTA’s I guessed 8 correctly, that of course means nothing when applied to the Oscars, notoriously hard to predict at times with questionable & controversial outcomes in past ceremonies, it should at least be interesting. Here are my selected picks.

Best Picture

La La Land

Arrival

Moonlight 

Lion

Manchester By The Sea

Hell Or High Water

Hidden Figures

Hacksaw Ridge

Fences

Winner: La La Land.

A lot more films in this category than at the BAFTA’s but I believe it is between La La Land and Manchester By The Sea. It feels a little more close to judge this time due to how well La La Land did at the BAFTA’s but I’m still going with Manchester By The Sea.

Best Actress

Emma Stone: La La Land

Meryl Streep: Florence Foster Jenkins.

Isabelle Huppert: Elle.

Natalie Portman: Jackie.

Ruth Nega: Loving.

Winner: Emma Stone.

As with the BAFTA’s, I believe this award is going to go to Emma Stone. Her performance in La La Land was amazing and much deserving of the nod. She’s does have some real competition from Ruth Nega and perennial award nominee Meryl Streep but I think Stone will still take the win this year.

Best Actor

Denzel Washington: Fences.

Andrew Garfield: Hacksaw Ridge.

Ryan Gosling: La La Land.

Casey Affleck: Manchester By The Sea. 

Vigo Mortensen: Captain Fantastic.

Winner: Casey Affleck.

I believe the award belongs to Casey Affleck for Manchester By The Sea, it’s pretty much locked in in my opinion but this is the Oscars we’re talking about, Ryan Gosling may surprise us or an actor not included in the Bafta noms like Denzel may also cause a shock, there is talk in some circles of him becoming fast favourite to take the gong.

Best Director

Damien Chezelle: La La Land.

Denis Villeneuve: Arrival.

Kenneth Lonergan: Manchester By The Sea.

Barry Jenkins: Moonlight.

Mel Gibson: Hacksaw Ridge.

Winner: Damien Chezelle.

I still think this award belongs to Damien Chezelle for his outstanding work on La La Land although this is going to be a hotly contested award. The main contention will be from Kenneth Lonergan but Moonlight is gaining tremendous word of mouth and Barry Jenkins may jump in on this one.

Best Supporting Actress

Naomie Harris: Moonlight.

Michelle Williams: Manchester By The Sea.

Viola Davis: Fences.

Octavia Spencer: Hidden Figures.

Nicole Kidman: Lion.

Winner: Naomie Harris.

As much as this award should end up in the hands of Michelle Williams in my opinion, I do think it is more likely to end up with the more hotly tipped Naomie Harris. I have yet to see Moonlight so can’t really comment on Naomie’s performance but word of mouth leads me to believe it is hers.

Best Supporting Actor 

Michael Shannon: Nocturnal Animals.

Mahershala Ali: Moonlight.

Jeff Bridges: Hell Or High Water.

Dev Patel: Lion.

Lucas Hedges: Manchester By The Sea

Winner: Lucas Hedges.

Tough one to call this, at the BAFTA’s this award had Dev Patel’s name all over it. His work on Lion was brilliant and highly deserving of the nod. But with the addition of Lucas Hedges to the Oscar noms, it has to be the newcomer for me, he was exceptional in Manchester By The Sea. Gonna be a close one, one of these two guys will take it though.

Best Original Music Score

LaLa Land.

Passengers.

Jackie

Lion

Moonlight.

Winner: La La Land.

As with the BAFTA’s I think this is pretty cut and dry for LaLa Land. Not much more to say, I am that confident.

Best cinematography 

Linus Sandgren: LaLa Land.

Bradford Young: Arrival 

James Laxton: Moonlight.

Rodrigo Prieto: Silence.

Greig Fraser: Lion.

Winner: Linus Sandgren.

As with the BAFTA’s, I think this belongs to Sandgren. Strong contention from Prieto for the mesmerising work on Silence and some genuine awe inspiring work from Bradford Young for Arrival.

Best Original Screenplay

Damien Chezelle: La La Land.

Taylor Sheridan: Hell Or High Water.

Yorgos Lanthimos & Efthymis Pilippou: The Lobster.

Kenneth Lonergan: Manchester By The Sea.

Mike Mills: 20th Century Women.

Winner: Kenneth Lonergan.

It’s pretty much going to be between Chezelle & Lonergan, Lonergan I think will take it. La La Land was excellent but the screenplay for Manchester By The Sea was in another level entirely.

Best Animated Feature

Moana.

Zootopia.

My Life As A Courgette.

The Red Turtle.

Juno And The Two Strings.

Winner: Zootopia.

I am still really holding out on Zootopia taking a bow but have a feeling that it is probably going to go the way of the BAFTA’s and go to Kubo.



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